Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 19.576280 22.407637 25.645011 29.651308 34.518718 40.296101 47.756303
2025-08-10 15.635154 19.075417 23.363401 29.202640 37.111351 47.702595 63.415099
2025-08-17 13.384477 17.013087 21.798624 28.753269 38.926147 53.825627 78.475177
2025-08-24 11.877814 15.586229 20.699186 28.530564 40.744618 60.073476 95.370550
2025-08-31 10.574401 14.222383 19.430113 27.749289 41.425567 64.534898 110.581088
2025-09-07 9.653877 13.271670 18.599780 27.444100 42.715252 70.193401 129.915570
2025-09-14 8.652823 12.087630 17.263858 26.106444 41.957271 71.914521 141.768858
2025-09-21 7.788020 11.024300 15.995247 24.694454 40.794061 72.549003 151.407073
2025-09-28 7.181910 10.303571 15.192640 23.964044 40.748355 75.395447 167.589616
2025-10-05 7.400004 10.886972 16.552835 27.215746 49.001881 98.309733 250.205481
2025-10-12 7.198916 10.771687 16.723555 28.300553 53.076284 113.055223 320.001822
2025-10-19 6.724584 10.164687 15.982585 27.529765 52.963880 117.231753 356.285589
2025-10-26 6.523328 10.019178 16.073908 28.485426 57.133593 134.875160 464.476522
2025-11-02 6.145353 9.542336 15.523115 28.061935 57.980345 143.493859 544.217894
2025-11-09 5.805527 9.105761 15.004980 27.635267 58.733363 152.194567 636.769525
2025-11-16 5.524576 8.752557 14.611076 27.423826 60.004771 163.217956 761.215727
2025-11-23 5.206730 8.311574 14.011756 26.681845 59.711043 168.770952 861.024205
2025-11-30 4.966911 7.996702 13.632034 26.391917 60.624333 179.308901 1022.144534
2025-12-07 4.640254 7.503477 12.864721 25.120541 58.496488 177.240052 1074.152568
2025-12-14 4.329615 7.024607 12.096788 23.777415 55.957725 172.783478 1099.883810
2025-12-21 4.107790 6.700250 11.619507 23.082169 55.257195 175.972168 1216.597208
2025-12-28 4.269118 7.103915 12.651759 26.174947 67.001961 241.961571 2419.816046
2026-01-04 4.220920 7.103241 12.843888 27.205418 72.470968 283.083648 3680.629595